課程資訊
課程名稱
成本效益分析
COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS 
開課學期
96-2 
授課對象
社會科學院  公共行政組  
授課教師
江瑞祥 
課號
PS4302 
課程識別碼
302 44600 
班次
 
學分
全/半年
半年 
必/選修
必修 
上課時間
星期五1,2(8:10~10:00) 
上課地點
社法研4 
備註
須經教師同意始可修習,971學期恢復原先上課時間(週四34節)。
限學士班四年級以上
總人數上限:10人
外系人數限制:3人 
Ceiba 課程網頁
http://ceiba.ntu.edu.tw/962CBA 
課程簡介影片
 
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課程概述

本課程將以公部門如何進行計畫評估為主要授課內容,並輔以私部門之計畫評估,以因應私部門日漸參與公共服務計畫之評估需求。課程將依計畫參數確定性與否的假設,區分兩大授課內容。其一為確定下之成本效益分析,探討之評估方法將以折現後現金流量分析法為主;其二為不確定性下之成本效益分析,探討之評估方法將以決策分析與實體選擇權分析為主。擬探討之課題涵括成本與效益之定義、社會折現率、成本有效性、風險報酬率、加權平均資金成本、資本資產定價模式、多因子定價模式、機率性風險評估、選擇權評價模式等。討論之主體對象涵括運輸、電信、電力、水利、遊憩區、工業區、科學園區、運動場、展覽會場及各項公共服務等計畫。 

課程目標
This course present and interpret some of the many frameworks helpful for balancing costs/risks and benefits which typically involve human safety, potential environmental effects, and large financial and technological uncertainties in large public projects. 
課程要求
There will be four to six problems (which will count for about 30% of the course’s grade; graduate students will expect to take additional case studies to count for their final grades) and two quizzes (total about 70% of the grade). If you first make an effort to think things for yourself, I will be glad to help you with homework before it is due. 
預期每週課後學習時數
 
Office Hours
另約時間 
指定閱讀
 
參考書目
 
評量方式
(僅供參考)
   
課程進度
週次
日期
單元主題
Week 1
2/22  Introduction: Background and Fundamental Premises 
Week 2
2/29  Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA): Economic Evaluation Techniques 
Week 3
3/07  CBA: Measures of Effectiveness and Capital Budgeting 
Week 4
3/14  CBA: Price Inflation; Cost Changes; Unequal Lifetimes 
Week 5
3/21  CBA: Presence of Uncertainty and Risk; Possibility of Catastrophic Failure 
Week 6
3/28  CBA: Evaluation over Time; Discount Rates for Private and Public Sector; Capital Asset Pricing Model 
Week 7
4/04  National Holiday 
Week 8
4/11  CBA: Value of Goods or Services with No Readily Available Market Prices; Variations on CBA Approach 
Week 9
4/18  Mid-Term 
Week 10
4/25  Review of Probability 
Week 11
5/02  Decision Analysis (DA): Background, Decision Trees; the Value of Information 
Week 12
5/09  DA: the Axioms of DA; the Concept of Utility; Decision Using Utilities; Typical Utility Functions 
Week 13
5/16  Real Options Analysis (ROA): Basic Concepts and Option Valuation 
Week 14
5/23  ROA: Real Options; Valuation of Financial Options 
Week 15
5/30  ROA: Valuation by Simulation 
Week 16
6/06  Un-priced Value Evaluation 
Week 17
6/13  Transaction Cost Approach; Course Wrap Up